NYS Remains Quiet... Southeast Gets Tornado Outbreak

Besides an inch of snow (which melted already) and some rain, the Wednesday/Thursday event was... uneventful for most of NYS. The southeastern states saw a tornado outbreak, recording the second EF4 of the season, along with the first EF3 and many smaller tornadoes.



The latest GFS runs are throwing in a Nor'easter into the New England states this Sunday, which will scrape the eastern parts of NYS. The NAM run has the main precip core a bit further east. The discrepancy is the secondary low forecasted to form just off the coast, which the GFS has forming and deepening sooner than the NAM. The NAM is in closer agreement with the European model than the GFS is, so I'm banking on the storm staying further east. Good news for us winter haters!