Looks like we have a real shot at severe weather here on Staten Island tomorrow. The Storm Prediction Center has us in a "SLIGHT" risk zone, with a 30% + hatched probabilistic chance for severe weather, and Staten Island is smack dab in the middle. Looking at some NAM forecast soundings for Newark, NJ (which is the closest site to S.I.), the hours of 11:00AM - 7:00PM look to be the most promising, with the 5PM (21Z) forecast sounding the best. CAPE is forecast to be over 1600 J/kg, with a LI of -3 and 31 K-index. These numbers are great for Staten Island. There appears to be some good shear going on in the the lower levels, and lots of upper-level vorticity to keep this spin up. With temperatures as warm as they have been - upper 70s/low 80s - and an approaching storm system that has spawned widespread severe weather in the Plains, I predict that the weather tomorrow here in Staten Island will be interesting. I have work from 8:00AM - 4:00PM, so I will have to bring my camera to work to take video if things get fun.
Friday, May 30, 2008
Severe Weather for Staten Island on Saturday 5/31?!
Looks like we have a real shot at severe weather here on Staten Island tomorrow. The Storm Prediction Center has us in a "SLIGHT" risk zone, with a 30% + hatched probabilistic chance for severe weather, and Staten Island is smack dab in the middle. Looking at some NAM forecast soundings for Newark, NJ (which is the closest site to S.I.), the hours of 11:00AM - 7:00PM look to be the most promising, with the 5PM (21Z) forecast sounding the best. CAPE is forecast to be over 1600 J/kg, with a LI of -3 and 31 K-index. These numbers are great for Staten Island. There appears to be some good shear going on in the the lower levels, and lots of upper-level vorticity to keep this spin up. With temperatures as warm as they have been - upper 70s/low 80s - and an approaching storm system that has spawned widespread severe weather in the Plains, I predict that the weather tomorrow here in Staten Island will be interesting. I have work from 8:00AM - 4:00PM, so I will have to bring my camera to work to take video if things get fun.
Wednesday, May 28, 2008
Thunderstorms Narrowly Miss Albany, Staten Island
Thunderstorms, with embedded severe cells, formed in a rough line yesterday between Albany and Staten Island, but unfortunately neither locations were really hit, so we don't have pictures or video of any storms.
NYS did manage to scrape out one severe report for the day. Penny-sized hail was reported in Warwick in Orange County.
05/27/2008
It looks like we might get some thunderstorm action on the 30th/31st, so I'll keep my camcorder charged and ready!
NYS did manage to scrape out one severe report for the day. Penny-sized hail was reported in Warwick in Orange County.
05/27/2008
It looks like we might get some thunderstorm action on the 30th/31st, so I'll keep my camcorder charged and ready!
Monday, May 26, 2008
Severe Weather in NYC?
Looks like there could be some thunderstorms in Staten Island tomorrow...there's a good amount of heating, vorticity, and moisture, plus it got up to 87 outside my house today. I will take video/pictures tomorrow if there are any developing clouds...
Sunday, May 18, 2008
Tornado Touches Down In Oneida County
In a surprising event, a tornado touched down on the evening of the 17th in Camden, NY. The EF0 tornado produced little damage in the area. The warning for it can be seen here.
Hail was also reported in Cicero.
05/17/2008
Out in Albany, we saw a little rain, but nothing special.
Hail was also reported in Cicero.
05/17/2008
Out in Albany, we saw a little rain, but nothing special.
Wednesday, May 14, 2008
New Link and Link Edits
Getting around to finishing up the blog layout... decided to add another sounding page from the NWS for some better data coverage. I might reorganize the links a little bit, but the site is pretty good as-is for awhile.
Still waiting for those storms to get here. Looking at a damp, cool weekend, with cooler temperatures through the next week. What does all this mean? It means that I'm bored.
Still waiting for those storms to get here. Looking at a damp, cool weekend, with cooler temperatures through the next week. What does all this mean? It means that I'm bored.
Saturday, May 10, 2008
Outlook: Dull
Such a lag in getting the severe weather into the eastern half of NYS this year. My camcorder has been gathering dust since I got it last December... for the sole purpose of recording thunderstorms and severe weather.
Looks like the end of May might provide us with some nice storms, but that could change in an instant. Hopefully we'll get some storms within the next couple of weeks.
Until then, sit tight!
Looks like the end of May might provide us with some nice storms, but that could change in an instant. Hopefully we'll get some storms within the next couple of weeks.
Until then, sit tight!
Monday, May 5, 2008
Windy in Western NY
A thin line of storms passed through western NY Saturday evening, causing several wind reports.
05/03/2008
Nothing much to report on this one... Still waiting for one to hit Albany!
05/03/2008
Nothing much to report on this one... Still waiting for one to hit Albany!
Thursday, May 1, 2008
28F Low in Albany? Really?
April is over, and May is here...so why are we having a low of 28F? Last year May was wicked. The last few days I was up here during finals, we had some really nice storms. Everyone was out during the day playing sports or tanning or grilling out.
Most people, however, didn't notice the tremendous cumulonimbus clouds building larger each minute. I remember two instances in early May when the weather was severe: The day of my ATM211 final I was over playing volleyball at Empire Apartments. I noticed a cool gust of air that became sustained, darkening skies, and a balloon launched by the NWS three hours early. Sure enough, we had a raging storm that night.
A few days later, after my Physics 2 final, I was walking back to my room, noticed a wall cloud rushing in, and decided to get the hell inside. Within seconds, we had torrential rain and the lobby of the building was flooded.
...We're reaching that time of the year now, so why the hell don't we have any storms? We're certainly not gonna get it with a daytime high in the 40's and a nighttime low of 28F. We have an approaching storm system, but the instability is neglible and it will most likely be stratiform precipitation. Either way, I'm getting antsy.
Most people, however, didn't notice the tremendous cumulonimbus clouds building larger each minute. I remember two instances in early May when the weather was severe: The day of my ATM211 final I was over playing volleyball at Empire Apartments. I noticed a cool gust of air that became sustained, darkening skies, and a balloon launched by the NWS three hours early. Sure enough, we had a raging storm that night.
A few days later, after my Physics 2 final, I was walking back to my room, noticed a wall cloud rushing in, and decided to get the hell inside. Within seconds, we had torrential rain and the lobby of the building was flooded.
...We're reaching that time of the year now, so why the hell don't we have any storms? We're certainly not gonna get it with a daytime high in the 40's and a nighttime low of 28F. We have an approaching storm system, but the instability is neglible and it will most likely be stratiform precipitation. Either way, I'm getting antsy.
Welcome To May
Got up this morning to see a low of 28F in Albany, which ties our record low set in 1961. Not the best way to start the month of May. Still no severe weather yet here this year, though there is a slight chance of thunderstorms tomorrow.
Last year, May brought a good amount of thunderstorms to the Albany area. I'm hoping for a repeat performance this year. May-June is the best time for severe thunderstorms in NYS, so here's hoping for a good season!
Last year, May brought a good amount of thunderstorms to the Albany area. I'm hoping for a repeat performance this year. May-June is the best time for severe thunderstorms in NYS, so here's hoping for a good season!
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