Sunday, June 15, 2008

Tomorrow Keeps Looking Better

It looks like Albany will get some initial rain and thunderstorms in the late morning hours, followed by daytime heating and then perhaps some severe thunderstorms in the evening. The severe threat in NYS is approaching the moderate scale, with parts of southern NYS in the 30% chance with a hashed area.

06/16/2008


The indices and lapse rate are looking good, but the wind profile is lacking in the severe department. Very little directional shear and weak-to-moderate speed shear will hinder the development of strong storms. Wind damage and small hail are certainly a concern with the storms.

After tomorrow, expect a period of cooler-than-average temperatures and chance of rain showers. This pattern is likely to last through the weekend, so updates will be less frequent for the next week or so.

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