NYS Goes Moderate, Winds Improve

Today's forecast wind is looking much more favorable for storm development. Not only has the speed shear improved, but low-level directional shear is looking much better than it did yesterday. With this increased hazard, parts of NYS have been placed in the moderate area for severe weather. Wind is still the greatest concern, but now I can actually throw in the possibility of a tornado. Some medium- and even possibly large-sized hail is also possible with these storms today.

06/16/2008


Cameras are good to go!

Severe Storms Hit Southern NYS

Just catching up on my severe reports here. Had some wind and hail reports in southern NYS yesterday. NYC got some nice storms as well, as reported by Mark M.

06/14/2008


As for me, I saw some lightning, but it wasn't that special. I tried to get a little something photographed, but the storm wasn't photogenic. Perhaps tomorrow's storms will show off their wild side for me.

Tomorrow Keeps Looking Better

It looks like Albany will get some initial rain and thunderstorms in the late morning hours, followed by daytime heating and then perhaps some severe thunderstorms in the evening. The severe threat in NYS is approaching the moderate scale, with parts of southern NYS in the 30% chance with a hashed area.

06/16/2008


The indices and lapse rate are looking good, but the wind profile is lacking in the severe department. Very little directional shear and weak-to-moderate speed shear will hinder the development of strong storms. Wind damage and small hail are certainly a concern with the storms.

After tomorrow, expect a period of cooler-than-average temperatures and chance of rain showers. This pattern is likely to last through the weekend, so updates will be less frequent for the next week or so.

June 16 Is Looking Good For Storms

Today's Day 3 Outlook from the SPC is showing a good portion of NYS in the slight-risk area for severe storms on June 16:

06/16/2008


Steep lapse rates and plenty of moisture will definitely get us some boomers, but the less-than-ideal wind speed shear and minimal directional wind shear will hinder our ability to get severe storms in NYS.

The models are in a bit of disagreement with the west-east movement of this incoming storm, so there's still room for this forecast to change.

Western NY Gets Wind, Hail

Slow-moving storms lumbered across Western NY yesterday evening, producing about a dozen wind damage reports along with one hail report. A couple of these storms also produced localized flooding in isolated areas. At one point, the doppler radar observed a cell south of Rochester producing rainfall at a rate of 3.5 - 4 inches per hour!

06/13/2008


The weakening system is heading east today, which will hopefully give the rest of NYS some action before it moves on. Most of the storms will be garden variety, but a few might become severe. The main concern for today is localized flooding, as storms will likely move very slowly due to weak upper-level winds.

Skies are clear here in Albany, which was expected. The storms are supposed to hit us in the early evening, which is good because I have to work until 5:00pm, so hopefully I won't miss anything.

Thunderstorms Possible Tomorrow In My Area

There's some storms in western NY today, which will probably spawn a severe report or two. Tomorrow, the threat extends into all of NYS. Unfortunately, conditions will be far from ideal for severe weather, but we might be able to still get some good lightning photos from the storms that do pop up.

The storms should hold off until I get out of work, and then it's on to either the campus or the NWS to observe the weather.

WUnderground Widget

I've added a "Weather Sticker", which is provided by WUnderground. I think it adds a nice little touch to the blog. I'd also like to add the ENX radar if I can find a way to embed that for free.